Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife 2 (Spain), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday


	Jakub Paul		Filip Misolic

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.19
	1.67	2.15	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.87)	2.1 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Paul
55.5%

Filip Misolic
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jakub Paul's performance.

Filip Misolic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Filip Misolic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jakub Paul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filip Misolic than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Filip Misolic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Jakub Paul - Filip Misolic Predictions

Users Predictions: Jakub Paul will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 355. Misolic is ranked ATP: 313.

Now both players are in good shape.

Misolic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Jakub Paul - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.92%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Paul
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Ignacio Buse - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
10.02.25	Ryan Peniston - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Lukas Pokorny - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Max Hans Rehberg - Jakub Paul	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Jakub Paul - Mae Malige	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW
- Filip Misolic
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Filip Misolic - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Filip Misolic - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Filip Misolic - Marco Bortolotti	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Filip Misolic - David Pichler	Canceled ✺
03.02.25	Filip Misolic - Arthur Reymond	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWW?L

Jakub Paul - Filip Misolic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide