Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Diego 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday


	Jakub Vrba		Spencer Johnson

	1	2
			Watch
	4.33	1.16
	5.10	1.13	Watch
	4.5	1.16	Watch
	4.85	1.16
	4.65	1.15	Watch
	4.60	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↓ (6.14)	1.15 ↑ (1.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Vrba
19.8%

Spencer Johnson
80.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

85%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Vrba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Spencer Johnson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Jakub Vrba - Spencer Johnson Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vrba will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Johnson will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vrba (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vrba is ranked ATP: 1119., and Johnson is ranked ATP: 451..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Vrba could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Johnson as the clear and undisputed favorite.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Vrba
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Blaise Bicknell - Jakub Vrba	Bicknell B. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.26	Jakub Vrba - Bryce Nakashima	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Jakub Vrba - Oliver Okonkwo	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Jakub Vrba - Ofek Shimanov	2:1 ✺
27.08.26	Ryan Colby - Jakub Vrba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 ?LWWW
- Spencer Johnson
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Jan Kobierski - Spencer Johnson	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Spencer Johnson - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Spencer Johnson - Vignesh Gogineni	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Spencer Johnson - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.08.26	Spencer Johnson - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL

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