Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday


	Spencer Johnson		Erik Arutiunian

	1	2
			Watch
	1.21	3.75
	1.22	3.80	Watch
	1.25	4.29
	1.15	4.56	Watch
	1.22	4.20
	1.24	3.65	Watch
	1.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.34)	3.97 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spencer Johnson
76.5%

Erik Arutiunian
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spencer Johnson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spencer Johnson's performance.

Erik Arutiunian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erik Arutiunian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spencer Johnson than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erik Arutiunian than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Spencer Johnson - Erik Arutiunian Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Johnson will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Johnson is ranked ATP: 451. Arutiunian is ranked ATP: 609.

Recent performances by Johnson have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arutiunian is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Johnson is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spencer Johnson
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Spencer Johnson - Vignesh Gogineni	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Spencer Johnson - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.08.26	Spencer Johnson - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Spencer Johnson - Andres Martin	2:1 ✺
06.08.26	Spencer Johnson - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWW
- Erik Arutiunian
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Nicholas Godsick - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Erik Arutiunian - Masamichi Imamura	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Sanhui Shin - Erik Arutiunian	1:2 ✺
10.08.26	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Egor Pleshivtsev - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWW

Spencer Johnson - Erik Arutiunian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide