Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	James Duckworth		Colton Smith

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.31	1.64
	2.23	1.59	Watch
	2.3	1.58	Watch
	2.36	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.28)	1.58 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
40.8%

Colton Smith
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

James Duckworth - Colton Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Duckworth will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Smith will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Duckworth is ranked ATP: 103. Smith is ranked ATP: 135.

Duckworth has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Smith is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Smith is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Duckworth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	James Duckworth - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.09.25	Alex Bolt - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
16.09.25	James Duckworth - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	James Duckworth - Tristan Boyer	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	James Duckworth - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Colton Smith
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Denis Yevseyev - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Colton Smith - Zsombor Piros	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Garrett Johns - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Colton Smith - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LL?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Houston
01.04.25	Colton Smith - James Duckworth	2:0

James Duckworth - Colton Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide