Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday


	Beibit Zhukayev		Colton Smith

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.5	1.46	Watch
	2.46	1.57
	1.93	1.87	Watch
			Watch
	2.48	1.5	Watch
	2.18	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.18)	1.6 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beibit Zhukayev
40.9%

Colton Smith
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beibit Zhukayev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Beibit Zhukayev - Colton Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zhukayev will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Smith will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 210. Smith is ranked ATP: 135.

Zhukayev has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Smith's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Smith might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Colton Smith - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 57.98%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
16.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW
- Colton Smith
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Denis Yevseyev - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Colton Smith - Zsombor Piros	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Garrett Johns - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Colton Smith - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
06.08.25	Colton Smith - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 L?LLW

Beibit Zhukayev - Colton Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide