Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday


	James Duckworth		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.58	2.32	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.38)	2.23 ↓ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
58.3%

Rei Sakamoto
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that James Duckworth's form might have worsened.

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rei Sakamoto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for James Duckworth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

James Duckworth - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Duckworth will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duckworth: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Duckworth is ranked ATP: 95. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 330.

Recent matches Duckworth is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sakamoto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Duckworth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Duckworth will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Miami
17.03.25	James Duckworth - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Jacob Fearnley - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.25	James Duckworth - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	James Duckworth - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
22.02.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Rei Sakamoto - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Rei Sakamoto - Govind Nanda	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Rei Sakamoto - Lucas Miedler	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Rei Sakamoto - Theo Arribage	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWW

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