Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	James Duckworth		Stefan Kozlov

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.43	2.99
	1.34	2.98	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.39	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.47)	2.78 ↑ (2.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
66.4%

Stefan Kozlov
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Stefan Kozlov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James Duckworth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefan Kozlov than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefan Kozlov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

James Duckworth - Stefan Kozlov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Duckworth will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Kozlov will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Duckworth (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Duckworth is ranked ATP: 86. Kozlov is ranked ATP: 265.

Duckworth has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Kozlov has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kozlov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Duckworth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Stefan Kozlov - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.99%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	James Duckworth - Michael Mmoh	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	James Duckworth - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	James Duckworth - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	James Duckworth - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	James Duckworth - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- Stefan Kozlov
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Raphael Perot - Stefan Kozlov	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Stefan Kozlov - Alan Magadan	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Stefan Kozlov - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Stefan Kozlov - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Stefan Kozlov - Alan Magadan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.10.19	Stefan Kozlov - James Duckworth	0:2
12.06.18	Stefan Kozlov - James Duckworth	Canceled

James Duckworth - Stefan Kozlov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide