Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	James McCabe		Andre Ilagan

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.84)	2.28 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James McCabe
59.4%

Andre Ilagan
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James McCabe's performance.

Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andre Ilagan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James McCabe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andre Ilagan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

James McCabe - Andre Ilagan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. McCabe will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ilagan will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilagan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McCabe is ranked ATP: 246. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 354.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

McCabe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

McCabe could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Andre Ilagan - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James McCabe
ITF Tournaments
20.03.26	James McCabe - Cruz Hewitt	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	James McCabe - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	James McCabe - Ymerali Ibraimi	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	James McCabe - Matt Hulme	2:1 ✺
ATP Doha
14.02.26	James McCabe - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWWL
- Andre Ilagan
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Rigele Te - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Weiwen Pan - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Jie Cui - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Filip Peliwo - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	M Rifqi Fitriadi - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWW

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