Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday


	James McCabe		Benoit Paire

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.54	2.31	Watch
	1.53	2.56
	1.52	2.43	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.34	Watch
	1.54	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.85)	2.36 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James McCabe
60.6%

Benoit Paire
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James McCabe's performance.

Benoit Paire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benoit Paire might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James McCabe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benoit Paire could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

James McCabe - Benoit Paire Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. McCabe will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Paire will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McCabe is ranked ATP: 265. Paire is ranked ATP: 304.

McCabe is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Paire is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

McCabe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

McCabe will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

James McCabe - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James McCabe
ATP Challenger
03.11.24	James McCabe - Shintaro Imai	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	James McCabe - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
28.10.24	Blake Ellis - James McCabe	2:1 ✺
17.10.24	James McCabe - Adam Walton	McCabe J. retired ✺
15.10.24	James McCabe - Linang Xiao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWL?W
- Benoit Paire
ATP Challenger
03.11.24	Benoit Paire - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Benoit Paire - Kentaro Otsuka	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Taro Daniel - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
24.10.24	Benoit Paire - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Rio Noguchi - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLW

James McCabe - Benoit Paire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide