Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brisbane 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Blake Ellis		James McCabe

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.42
	2.84	1.47
	2.61	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.69	1.41	Watch
	2.6	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.41)	1.42 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blake Ellis
34.5%

James McCabe
65.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Blake Ellis - James McCabe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - McCabe (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: James McCabe will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): James McCabe will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. McCabe (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ellis is ranked ATP: 518. McCabe is ranked ATP: 208.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

McCabe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ellis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ATP Challenger
05.02.26	Fajing Sun - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Blake Ellis - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Blake Ellis - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.01.26	Jurij Rodionov - Blake Ellis	2:1 ✺
08.01.26	Blake Ellis - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLW
- James McCabe
ATP Challenger
04.02.26	Shinji Hazawa - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Kokoro Isomura - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	James McCabe - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Pavle Marinkov - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Alexander Blockx - James McCabe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.10.24	Blake Ellis - James McCabe	2:1
04.02.24	James McCabe - Blake Ellis	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Anton Shepp - Blake Ellis	✺

Blake Ellis - James McCabe