Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	James McCabe		Kaichi Uchida

	1	2
			Watch
	1.35	2.9	Watch
	1.38	3.24
	1.33	3.04	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.33	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.54)	3.05 ↑ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James McCabe
69.3%

Kaichi Uchida
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James McCabe's performance.

Kaichi Uchida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kaichi Uchida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James McCabe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaichi Uchida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

James McCabe - Kaichi Uchida Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. McCabe will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. McCabe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McCabe is ranked ATP: 235. Uchida is ranked ATP: 238.

Recent performances by McCabe have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Uchida is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

McCabe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, McCabe is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James McCabe
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	Alex Bolt - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.04.26	James McCabe - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	James McCabe - Dominik Palan	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	James McCabe - Egor Pleshivtsev	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	James McCabe - Michael Zhu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWW
- Kaichi Uchida
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Alexis Galarneau - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Justin Boulais - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Alexandr Binda - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Liam Broady - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Kaichi Uchida - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

James McCabe - Kaichi Uchida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide