Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 14, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday


	James Story		Lukas Pokorny

	1	2
	2.1	1.62
	2.14	1.66	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.1	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.5)	1.63 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Story
43.2%

Lukas Pokorny
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Story has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James Story's performance.

Lukas Pokorny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lukas Pokorny might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Story than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James Story that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Pokorny than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukas Pokorny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

James Story - Lukas Pokorny Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Story is ranked ATP: 646. Pokorny is ranked ATP: 392.

Recent matches Story is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pokorny is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pokorny could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pokorny will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Pokorny to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Story won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Story
ITF Tournaments
09.04.25	James Story - Kenny De Schepper	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	James Story - Mats Rosenkranz	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	James Story - Alexandre Vassard	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Michael Geerts - James Story	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	James Story - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW
- Lukas Pokorny
ITF Tournaments
09.04.25	Hugo Pierre - Lukas Pokorny	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Moez Echargui - Lukas Pokorny	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Francisco Rocha - Lukas Pokorny	1:2 ✺
03.04.25	Seydina Andre - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Muhammad Shoaib - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.01.25	Lukas Pokorny - James Story	0:2

James Story - Lukas Pokorny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide