Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Loule (Portugal), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday


	James Story		Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.46	2.6
	1.44	2.62
	1.43	2.66	Watch
	1.33	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.33)	2.68 ↓ (2.85)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Story
65.5%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Story has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Story than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for James Story, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

James Story - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Story is ranked ATP: 708. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 575.

Recent matches Story is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gonzalez Fernandez is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gonzalez Fernandez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Story is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Story
ITF Tournaments
15.03.25	George Loffhagen - James Story	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Toby Alex Kodat - James Story	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	James Story - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	James Story - Patrick Kaukovalta	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.02.25	Viktor Durasovic - James Story	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWL
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
13.03.25	Toby Alex Kodat - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Pedro Araujo - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Sebastian Fanselow - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	Fanselow S. retired ✺
08.02.25	Karl Poling - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	Gonzalez Fernandez M. retired ✺
06.02.25	Ezekiel Clark - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LL??W

James Story - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide