Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 5 (Tunisia), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Karl Poling		Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

	1	2
	1.98	1.72
	1.97	1.78	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.96	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.83)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karl Poling
47.4%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Karl Poling - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Poling is ranked ATP: 665. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 581.

Recent matches Poling is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gonzalez Fernandez is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karl Poling
ITF Tournaments
06.02.25	Mikhail Gorokhov - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Karl Poling - Andrin Casanova	2:0 ✺
30.01.25	Toby Martin - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Karl Poling - Alessandro Pecci	2:0 ✺
21.01.25	Alessandro Pecci - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
06.02.25	Ezekiel Clark - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Sebastian Prechtel - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
30.01.25	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Izan Almazan Valiente	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW

Karl Poling - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide