Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Quinta Do Lago (Portugal), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Quinta Do Lago (Portugal) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Sebastian Fanselow		Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.67	2.11
	1.67	2.07	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.68	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.37)	2.08 ↓ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Fanselow
55.5%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
44.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Fanselow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Fanselow's form might have worsened.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mario Gonzalez Fernandez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Fanselow than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Fanselow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sebastian Fanselow - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fanselow is ranked ATP: 558. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 579.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Fanselow
ITF Tournaments
12.02.25	Cezar Cretu - Sebastian Fanselow	2:1 ✺
16.01.25	Sebastian Fanselow - Christian Djonov	0:2 ✺
15.01.25	Sebastian Fanselow - Maik Steiner	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.01.25	Sebastian Fanselow - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
06.01.25	Sebastian Fanselow - Mukund Sasikumar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
08.02.25	Karl Poling - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	Gonzalez Fernandez M. retired ✺
06.02.25	Ezekiel Clark - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Sebastian Prechtel - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
30.01.25	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Izan Almazan Valiente	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 ?WWLW

Sebastian Fanselow - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Sebastian Fanselow - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Predictions

Preview

Form

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