Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zagreb, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Jan Choinski		Chris Rodesch

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2.15	1.76
	1.94	1.79	Watch
			Watch
	1.92	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (2)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
46.6%

Chris Rodesch
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Chris Rodesch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Rodesch than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Jan Choinski - Chris Rodesch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 122. Rodesch is ranked ATP: 166.

Choinski is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rodesch has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rodesch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Choinski won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Jan Choinski - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.52%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Jan Choinski - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Jan Choinski - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
05.05.26	Christian Garin - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Dusan Lajovic - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Laslo Djere - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWL
- Chris Rodesch
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Luka Mikrut - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Stefan Dostanic - Chris Rodesch	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Dino Prizmic - Chris Rodesch	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.26	Chris Rodesch - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Rinky Hijikata - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.08.18	Jan Choinski - Chris Rodesch	2:0

Jan Choinski - Chris Rodesch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide