Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Dusan Lajovic		Jan Choinski

	1	2
			Watch
	1.59	2.21
	1.62	2.41
	1.62	2.23	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.58	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.5)	2.27 ↓ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dusan Lajovic
58.7%

Jan Choinski
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Dusan Lajovic - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: Dusan Lajovic will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajovic is ranked ATP: 138. Choinski is ranked ATP: 119.

Recent performances by Lajovic have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Choinski's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lajovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lajovic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lajovic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Jan Choinski - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.17%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Luca Van Assche - Dusan Lajovic	Canceled ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Dusan Lajovic - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Chris Rodesch - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Dusan Lajovic - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 ?LWWW
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Laslo Djere - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Henrique Rocha - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
ATP Munich
11.04.26	Jan Choinski - Marc-Andrea Huesler	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Jan Choinski - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Jan Choinski - Dusan Lajovic	3:1
ATP Challenger
03.04.18	Dusan Lajovic - Jan Choinski	Canceled

Dusan Lajovic - Jan Choinski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide