Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bunschoten, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday


	Jan Choinski		Guy Den Ouden

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.25	1.69
	2.20	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.14	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2)	1.66 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
43.7%

Guy Den Ouden
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guy Den Ouden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Jan Choinski - Guy Den Ouden Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Den Ouden will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guy Den Ouden will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 176. Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 184.

Choinski is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Den Ouden has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Choinski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Choinski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Jan Choinski - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.38%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
18.07.25	Jan Choinski - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Jan Choinski - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
14.07.25	Jan Choinski - Manvydas Balciunas	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Jan Choinski - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Jan Choinski - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLW
- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
18.07.25	Gauthier Onclin - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Mathys Erhard - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Guy Den Ouden - Filip Misolic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Guy Den Ouden - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.03.22	Guy Den Ouden - Jan Choinski	0:2

Jan Choinski - Guy Den Ouden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide