Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday


	Jan Choinski		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.55	2.35
	1.6	2.48
	1.54	2.41	Watch
	1.56	2.4	Watch
	1.59	2.4	Watch
	1.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	2.41 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
60.8%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Jan Choinski - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Choinski (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jan Choinski will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 100. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 111.

Choinski has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Basilashvili's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Basilashvili may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Choinski will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Choinski will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Nikoloz Basilashvili - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Jan Choinski - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Daniel Rincon - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Jan Choinski - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Jan Choinski - Max Hans Rehberg	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Jan Choinski - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Raul Brancaccio - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Basilashvili N. Retired ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
14.06.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 L?LWW

Jan Choinski - Nikoloz Basilashvili: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide