Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Budapest, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Budapest 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jan Kupcic		Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini

	1	2
	1.60	2.15
	1.60	2.18
	1.65	2.27
	1.6	2.17	Watch
	1.63	2.20
	1.59	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.56)	2.19 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Kupcic
57.6%

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
42.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Kupcic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Kupcic than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Kupcic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jan Kupcic - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kupcic is ranked ATP: 1139. Baragiola Mordini is ranked ATP: 1172.

Recent performances by Kupcic have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Baragiola Mordini is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Baragiola Mordini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kupcic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Kupcic
ITF Tournaments
10.09.26	Peter Fajta - Jan Kupcic	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Lucas Renard - Jan Kupcic	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Fermin Tenti - Jan Kupcic	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Sebastian Sorger - Jan Kupcic	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Jan Kupcic - Giuseppe La Vela	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLL
- Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
ITF Tournaments
10.09.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Kirill Kivattsev	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Vincent Dullinger - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Lorenzo Berto - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Lorenzo Beraldo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WWLWW

Jan Kupcic - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Jan Kupcic - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini Predictions

Preview

Form

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