Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Jan-Lennard Struff		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	5.00	1.17	Watch
	4.75	1.18
	4.80	1.18
	5.40	1.20
	4.53	1.19	Watch
	5.10	1.19
	5.45	1.20	Watch
	5.00	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	5 ↓ (5.17)	1.19 ↑ (1.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 37.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan-Lennard Struff
19.2%

Daniil Medvedev
80.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

81.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Jan Lennard Struff - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Struff will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Medvedev will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Medvedev (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Struff is ranked ATP: 74. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 9.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Struff won 0.

Struff has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Medvedev is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Medvedev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Medvedev is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Struff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:22. (average 0.7:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Brandon Nakashima - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:3 ✺
29.06.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Sebastian Baez	3:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
23.06.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
10.06.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWL
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Daniil Medvedev	1:3 ✺
29.06.26	Marin Cilic - Daniil Medvedev	0:3 ✺
ATP Halle
19.06.26	Daniel Altmaier - Daniil Medvedev	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Terence Atmane - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
25.02.25	Daniil Medvedev - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0
ATP Marseille
14.02.25	Daniil Medvedev - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Daniil Medvedev	1:3
Davis Cup World Group
04.12.21	Daniil Medvedev - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.21	Jan-Lennard Struff - Daniil Medvedev	1:3
ATP Halle
15.06.21	Daniil Medvedev - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2
Exhibition Diriyah Men
12.12.19	Daniil Medvedev - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0

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