Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vienna 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4.00	1.24
	4.05	1.22	Watch
	4.1	1.25	Watch
	4.4	1.23
	4.01	1.26	Watch
	4.05	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↓ (5.31)	1.23 ↑ (1.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
23%

Daniil Medvedev
77%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.9%

82.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Merida Aguilar's performance.

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniil Medvedev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Medvedev will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6.5 Games - Merida Aguilar (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 18.5 Games - over (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 50%). Medvedev (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 42., and Medvedev is ranked ATP: 5..

In recent outings, Merida Aguilar has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Medvedev is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Merida Aguilar could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Medvedev for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Merida Aguilar has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
20.09.26	Christian Garin - Daniel Merida Aguilar	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
04.09.26	Alex Michelsen - Daniel Merida Aguilar	3:0 ✺
02.09.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrey Rublev	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 L?WLW
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Almaty
25.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
24.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Bublik	Bublik A. Retired ✺
23.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
22.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
17.10.26	Rafael Jodar - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 W?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Daniil Medvedev	1:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Vienna
30.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Daniil Medvedev	✺

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Daniil Medvedev