Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Jan-Lennard Struff		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.43	1.54	Watch
	2.5	1.51	Watch
	2.45	1.55
	2.53	1.56	Watch
	2.43	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.2)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan-Lennard Struff
38.4%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan-Lennard Struff, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Jan Lennard Struff - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Struff will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Tirante will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tirante (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Struff is ranked ATP: 59., and Tirante is ranked ATP: 52..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Tirante may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tirante holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Jan-Lennard Struff - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.15%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.85%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Francisco Cerundolo	2:3 ✺
01.09.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Alex Michelsen - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Yanki Erel	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Adrian Mannarino	2:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
20.08.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 ?WLLW

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