Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.36	3.20	Watch
	1.35	3.10
	1.35	3.20
	1.41	3.26
	1.37	2.97	Watch
	10.00	1.04
	12.00	1.07	Watch
	1.40	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (1.53)	2.59 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 37.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
40.7%

Adrian Mannarino
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thiago Augustin Tirante's form might have worsened.

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adrian Mannarino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adrian Mannarino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 34.5 Games - over (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Thiago Augustin Tirante will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Tirante is ranked ATP: 42. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 67.

Tirante is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mannarino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tirante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tirante is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 63.4%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Cincinnati
20.08.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
17.08.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Martin Landaluce	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Novak Djokovic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LWWWW
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.26	Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.26	Denis Shapovalov - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
29.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Adrian Mannarino - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLLW

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