Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Puerto Vallarta, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Jaqueline Adina Cristian		Tatjana Maria

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.55	2.42	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.58	2.29	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.76)	2.25 ↑ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaqueline Adina Cristian
58.5%

Tatjana Maria
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaqueline Adina Cristian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaqueline Adina Cristian's performance.

Tatjana Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tatjana Maria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaqueline Adina Cristian than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Tatjana Maria Predictions

Users Predictions: Tatjana Maria will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cristian is ranked WTA: 72. Maria is ranked WTA: 86.

Cristian is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Maria is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cristian could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaqueline Adina Cristian
ATP Challenger
26.03.25	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Ena Shibahara	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Harriet Dart	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.25	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	1:2 ✺
06.03.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWLWW
- Tatjana Maria
ATP Challenger
26.03.25	Jodie Anna Burrage - Tatjana Maria	1:2 ✺
24.03.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
17.03.25	Tatjana Maria - Yulia Starodubtseva	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Tatjana Maria - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
06.03.25	Belinda Bencic - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL

Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Tatjana Maria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide