Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Manila, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday


	Tatjana Maria		Leolia Jeanjean

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.91
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.93	1.9
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.4)	1.94 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tatjana Maria
52%

Leolia Jeanjean
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tatjana Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tatjana Maria's form might have worsened.

Leolia Jeanjean has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leolia Jeanjean's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tatjana Maria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leolia Jeanjean than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leolia Jeanjean, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Tatjana Maria - Leolia Jeanjean Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Maria will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Jeanjean will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maria: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Maria (votes: 3 - 60%). Jeanjean (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Maria (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Maria (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Jeanjean (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maria is ranked WTA: 42. Jeanjean is ranked WTA: 103.

Recent performances by Maria have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jeanjean has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Jeanjean may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maria won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tatjana Maria
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Petra Marcinko - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
WTA Hobart
13.01.26	Tatjana Maria - Anna Bondar	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Tatjana Maria - Venus Williams	2:0 ✺
WTA Brisbane
05.01.26	Tatjana Maria - Emerson Jones	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.12.25	Tatjana Maria - Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez	Reasco Gonzalez M. E. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWL?
- Leolia Jeanjean
WTA Australian Open
17.01.26	Maria Sakkari - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
WTA Hobart
10.01.26	Renata Zarazua - Leolia Jeanjean	Canceled ✺
WTA United Cup
06.01.26	Jasmine Paolini - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
02.01.26	Leolia Jeanjean - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.12.25	Leolia Jeanjean - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 L?LLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.10.25	Leolia Jeanjean - Tatjana Maria	0:2
WTA Miami
16.03.25	Tatjana Maria - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0
ITF Tournaments
26.01.25	Tatjana Maria - Leolia Jeanjean	2:1
WTA Lausanne
13.07.22	Leolia Jeanjean - Tatjana Maria	Jeanjean L. walkover

Tatjana Maria - Leolia Jeanjean: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide