Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Caserta, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2026, Wednesday


	Jasmin Ortenzi		Beatrice Ricci

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.72
	1.34	3.32
	1.71	1.71	Watch
	1.3	3.1
	1.36	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.31)	2.75 ↓ (3.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmin Ortenzi
65.9%

Beatrice Ricci
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmin Ortenzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jasmin Ortenzi's form might have worsened.

Beatrice Ricci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beatrice Ricci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmin Ortenzi than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beatrice Ricci than the current prediction. (-5%)

Jasmin Ortenzi - Beatrice Ricci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ortenzi is ranked WTA: 168. Ricci is ranked WTA: 685.

Ortenzi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ricci is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ricci may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ortenzi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ortenzi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmin Ortenzi
WTA Roland Garros
20.05.26	Alina Korneeva - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Arantxa Rus - Jasmin Ortenzi	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.05.26	Kristina Liutova - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Jasmin Ortenzi - Elvina Kalieva	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Jasmin Ortenzi - Ayana Akli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW
- Beatrice Ricci
WTA Roma
04.05.26	Beatrice Ricci - Tamara Korpatsch	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Beatrice Ricci - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Beatrice Ricci - Alena Kovackova	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Beatrice Ricci - Dalila Spiteri	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Julie Struplova - Beatrice Ricci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.09.21	Jasmin Ortenzi - Beatrice Ricci	2:0

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