Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Spring, TX (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday


	Jasmin Ortenzi		Carol Zhao

	1	2
	1.86	1.86
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.81	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.72)	1.86 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmin Ortenzi
50.3%

Carol Zhao
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmin Ortenzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Carol Zhao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmin Ortenzi than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carol Zhao than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Jasmin Ortenzi - Carol Zhao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ortenzi is ranked WTA: 235. Zhao is ranked WTA: 281.

Ortenzi is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Zhao is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zhao could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmin Ortenzi
ITF Tournaments
19.02.25	Akasha Urhobo - Jasmin Ortenzi	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Luisina Giovannini	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Carolina Alves	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Victoria Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
23.01.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Michaela Bayerlova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW
- Carol Zhao
ITF Tournaments
19.02.25	Carol Zhao - Sachia Vickery	Vickery S. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Marina Stakusic - Carol Zhao	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Julia Riera - Carol Zhao	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.01.25	Cadence Brace - Carol Zhao	Zhao C. retired ✺
29.01.25	Carol Zhao - Sophie Chang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 ?L??W

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