Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: United Cup, hard

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Top Event
Italy	Super Tennis
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Jasmine Paolini		Belinda Bencic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.73	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.8	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.54)	2.08 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmine Paolini
54.6%

Belinda Bencic
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jasmine Paolini's form might have worsened.

Belinda Bencic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belinda Bencic's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Jasmine Paolini - Belinda Bencic Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Bencic will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bencic: 74.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Belinda Bencic will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paolini is ranked WTA: 8. Bencic is ranked WTA: 11.

Paolini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paolini won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Jasmine Paolini - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 59.9%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Finals
06.11.25	Jessica Pegula - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
WTA Ningbo
18.10.25	Elena Rybakina - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW
- Belinda Bencic
WTA United Cup
02.01.26	Lois Boisson - Belinda Bencic	Canceled ✺
02.01.26	Leolia Jeanjean - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Women
27.12.25	Belinda Bencic - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Belinda Bencic - Xin Yu Wang	2:1 ✺
WTA Hong Kong
31.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Cristina Bucsa	Bucsa C. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 ?WLW?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Ningbo
17.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Jasmine Paolini	1:2
WTA United Cup
29.12.24	Jasmine Paolini - Belinda Bencic	2:0
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
09.11.22	Belinda Bencic - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
ITF Tournaments
07.11.18	Belinda Bencic - Jasmine Paolini	2:0

Jasmine Paolini - Belinda Bencic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide