Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Court Simonne-Mathieu (Paris)


	Jasmine Paolini		Dayana Yastremska

	1	2
	1.67	2.2
	1.67	2.18
	1.58	2.32
	1.58	2.52
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.62	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.72)	2.35 ↑ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmine Paolini
59.4%

Dayana Yastremska
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Dayana Yastremska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jasmine Paolini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dayana Yastremska than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dayana Yastremska could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	0%	15%

Jasmine Paolini - Dayana Yastremska Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Paolini (votes: 2 - 50%). Yastremska (votes: 2 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Jasmine Paolini will win (33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.3% – 95.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paolini is ranked WTA: 8. Yastremska is ranked WTA: 52.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paolini won 4.

Recent performances by Paolini have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Yastremska is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Yastremska may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paolini will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Paolini won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Roma
09.05.26	Jasmine Paolini - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Jasmine Paolini - Leolia Jeanjean	2:1 ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.26	Hailey Baptiste - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Laura Siegemund - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
15.04.26	Zeynep Sonmez - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL
- Dayana Yastremska
ATP Challenger
16.05.26	Barbora Krejcikova - Dayana Yastremska	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Dayana Yastremska - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Solana Sierra - Dayana Yastremska	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Dayana Yastremska	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Victoria Bosio - Dayana Yastremska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Palermo
20.07.23	Dayana Yastremska - Jasmine Paolini	1:2
ATP Challenger
18.05.23	Jasmine Paolini - Dayana Yastremska	2:1
WTA Cluj Napoca
12.10.22	Dayana Yastremska - Jasmine Paolini	0:2
WTA Lyon
04.03.22	Jasmine Paolini - Dayana Yastremska	0:2
WTA Linz
07.11.21	Jasmine Paolini - Dayana Yastremska	2:1
WTA Courmayeur
29.10.21	Dayana Yastremska - Jasmine Paolini	0:2
WTA Portoroz
14.09.21	Dayana Yastremska - Jasmine Paolini	Yastremska D. retired

Jasmine Paolini - Dayana Yastremska: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide