Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Jason Kubler		Kasidit Samrej

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	1.2	4.34
	1.21	4.08	Watch
			Watch
	1.22	4.02	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.84)	3.57 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jason Kubler
72.3%

Kasidit Samrej
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jason Kubler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jason Kubler's performance.

Kasidit Samrej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kasidit Samrej might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jason Kubler than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jason Kubler that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasidit Samrej than the current prediction. (+20.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kasidit Samrej could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Jason Kubler - Kasidit Samrej Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kubler will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Samrej will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kubler is ranked ATP: 190. Samrej is ranked ATP: 398.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Samrej may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Kasidit Samrej - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jason Kubler
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Jason Kubler	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Jason Kubler - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Jason Kubler - Dino Prizmic	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Jason Kubler - George Loffhagen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLWW
- Kasidit Samrej
ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Ye Cong Mo - Kasidit Samrej	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Kasidit Samrej - Christopher Eubanks	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Kasidit Samrej - Tomohiro Masabayashi	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Kasidit Samrej - Linghao Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWW

Jason Kubler - Kasidit Samrej: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide