Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Petr Bar-Biryukov		Kasidit Samrej

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.99	1.8
	2.17	1.58	Watch
			Watch
	1.99	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.83)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Bar-Biryukov
45.5%

Kasidit Samrej
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Bar-Biryukov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Kasidit Samrej has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Bar-Biryukov than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petr Bar-Biryukov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasidit Samrej than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kasidit Samrej, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Petr Bar Biryukov - Kasidit Samrej Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bar-Biryukov is ranked ATP: 327. Samrej is ranked ATP: 402.

Bar-Biryukov is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Samrej has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bar-Biryukov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bar-Biryukov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Petr Bar-Biryukov - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Kasidit Samrej - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Bar-Biryukov
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Charles Chen	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.09.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Akira Santillan	Bar Biryukov P. walkover ✺
18.09.25	Chase Ferguson - Petr Bar-Biryukov	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Stefan Vujic - Petr Bar-Biryukov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WL?WW
- Kasidit Samrej
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Ye Cong Mo - Kasidit Samrej	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Kasidit Samrej - Christopher Eubanks	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Kasidit Samrej - Tomohiro Masabayashi	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Kasidit Samrej - Linghao Zhang	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Kasidit Samrej - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.04.25	Kasidit Samrej - Petr Bar-Biryukov	1:2

Petr Bar-Biryukov - Kasidit Samrej: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide