Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday


	Jason Kubler		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.94	1.82	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2.19	1.64	Watch
	1.85	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.84)	1.76 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jason Kubler
47.2%

Rei Sakamoto
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jason Kubler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jason Kubler than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jason Kubler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Jason Kubler - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kubler will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kubler: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kubler (votes: 2 - 50%). Sakamoto (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kubler is ranked ATP: 373. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 278.

Two players are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jason Kubler
ITF Tournaments
21.03.25	Dane Sweeny - Jason Kubler	2:1 ✺
20.03.25	Jarrod Joyce - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Yuichiro Inui - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Pavle Marinkov - Jason Kubler	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Jason Kubler - Cruz Hewitt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWLW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Alexandre Muller - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	James Duckworth - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Rei Sakamoto - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Rei Sakamoto - Govind Nanda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWLW

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