Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday


	Alexandre Muller		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.49	2.65	Watch
	1.47	2.65	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.74	Watch
	1.49	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.44)	2.71 ↓ (2.78)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
64.9%

Rei Sakamoto
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Alexandre Muller - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexandre Muller will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 41. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 330.

Recent matches Muller is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sakamoto is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Muller could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Muller will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
15.03.25	Alexandre Muller - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
14.03.25	Alexandre Muller - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Alexandre Muller - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Miami
18.03.25	James Duckworth - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Rei Sakamoto - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Rei Sakamoto - Govind Nanda	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Rei Sakamoto - Lucas Miedler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLWW

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