Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SARASOTA (USA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 14 April 2023, Friday


	Jason Kubler		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.98	1.79
	1.99	1.89
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.97	1.79	Watch
	2.02	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.07)	1.78 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jason Kubler
47.2%

Tomas Machac
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jason Kubler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jason Kubler than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Jason Kubler - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: Jason Kubler will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Machac to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jason Kubler
ATP Challenger
13.04.23	Jason Kubler - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
11.04.23	Jason Kubler - Tung-Lin Wu	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
08.04.23	Francis Tiafoe - Jason Kubler	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
03.04.23	Fernando Verdasco - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW
- Tomas Machac
ATP Challenger
13.04.23	Toby Alex Kodat - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
11.04.23	Tomas Machac - Gijs Brouwer	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
08.04.23	Tomas Machac - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Marcos Giron - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
04.04.23	Tomas Machac - Jack Sock	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWW

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