Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MOUILLERON-LE-CAPTIF (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday


	Tomas Machac		Gijs Brouwer

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.42	2.7
	1.43	2.89
	1.4	2.75
	1.39	2.82	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.33)	2.78 ↓ (3.11)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
66.4%

Gijs Brouwer
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Gijs Brouwer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tomas Machac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gijs Brouwer than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gijs Brouwer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Tomas Machac - Gijs Brouwer Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Brouwer will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 50.6% – 100%.

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Preview

Machac in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Brouwer is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Machac could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Machac is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Machac to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Machac won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Challenger
01.10.23	Tomas Machac - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Richard Gasquet - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
29.09.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
28.09.23	Constant Lestienne - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
26.09.23	Tomas Machac - Maxime Cressy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWW
- Gijs Brouwer
ATP Challenger
29.09.23	Jack Draper - Gijs Brouwer	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Gijs Brouwer - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
26.09.23	Gijs Brouwer - Mathias Bourgue	2:1 ✺
22.09.23	Gijs Brouwer - Radu Albot	1:2 ✺
21.09.23	Mark Lajal - Gijs Brouwer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.04.23	Tomas Machac - Gijs Brouwer	2:0

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