Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: John Cain Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
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Finland	HBO Max
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Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Francis Tiafoe		Jason Kubler

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.27	3.85	Watch
	1.31	3.46	Watch
	1.29	3.6	Watch
	1.29	3.65	Watch
	1.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.2)	3.82 ↓ (4.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
75%

Jason Kubler
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Jason Kubler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Francis Tiafoe - Jason Kubler Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Kubler will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kubler: 34.6% – 73%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Kubler (votes: 8 - 53.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 37.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 31. Kubler is ranked ATP: 192.

Kubler is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tiafoe is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Brisbane
06.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
07.12.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
04.12.25	Francis Tiafoe - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Francis Tiafoe - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWWWL
- Jason Kubler
ATP Australian Open
15.01.26	Alexander Blockx - Jason Kubler	Blockx A. retired ✺
14.01.26	Jason Kubler - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Jason Kubler - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.11.25	Jason Kubler - Carl Emil Overbeck	Kubler J. retired ✺
24.11.25	Jason Kubler - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 ?WW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Houston
08.04.23	Francis Tiafoe - Jason Kubler	2:0
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.23	Francis Tiafoe - Jason Kubler	2:0
ATP US Open
01.09.22	Jason Kubler - Francis Tiafoe	0:3

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