Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Jaume Munar		Jaime Faria

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.58	2.34	Watch
	1.58	2.32	Watch
	1.64	2.25
	1.62	2.39	Watch
	1.58	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.71)	2.32 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaume Munar
59.2%

Jaime Faria
40.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaume Munar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaume Munar than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaume Munar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaime Faria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Jaume Munar - Jaime Faria Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Munar (votes: 2 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Jaume Munar (1.65) (votes: 92%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Jaume Munar will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Munar is ranked ATP: 64., and Faria is ranked ATP: 61..

Munar is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Faria have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Faria may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Munar has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Jaime Faria - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 44.47%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaume Munar
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Jaume Munar - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Jaume Munar - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.09.26	Jaume Munar - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Jaume Munar - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWLW
- Jaime Faria
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Jaime Faria - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Daniel Vallejo - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
28.09.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
25.09.26	Jaime Faria - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Jaime Faria - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
25.08.25	Jaume Munar - Jaime Faria	3:1
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.25	Jaume Munar - Jaime Faria	1:2

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