Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday


	Jaime Faria		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.50	2.63	Watch
	1.50	2.54
	1.47	2.70
	1.46	2.72	Watch
	1.54	2.55
	1.49	2.62	Watch
	1.48	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.53)	2.62 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
63.7%

Hugo Gaston
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Jaime Faria - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: Jaime Faria will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 68., and Gaston is ranked ATP: 97..

In recent outings, Faria has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Gaston shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Faria may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Faria is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Gaston - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.15%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Jaime Faria - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
20.09.26	Diego Duran - Jaime Faria	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Cesar Cruz - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Jaime Faria - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Jaime Faria - Jenson Brooksby	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 W?WLW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Daniil Medvedev - Hugo Gaston	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

Jaime Faria - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide