Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Daniel Vallejo		Jaime Faria

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.55
	2.40	1.54	Watch
	2.44	1.51	Watch
	2.55	1.52
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.39	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.85)	1.53 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
38.7%

Jaime Faria
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Vallejo's performance.

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaime Faria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Vallejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaime Faria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Daniel Vallejo - Jaime Faria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 56., and Faria is ranked ATP: 61..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Vallejo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Faria holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Vallejo has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Tokyo
28.09.26	Daniel Vallejo - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
26.09.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Jie Cui - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Ignacio Buse - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWL
- Jaime Faria
ATP Tokyo
28.09.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
25.09.26	Jaime Faria - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Jaime Faria - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
20.09.26	Diego Duran - Jaime Faria	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Cesar Cruz - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
04.05.26	Daniel Vallejo - Jaime Faria	1:2

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