Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Skopje, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday


	Jay Clarke		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.51	2.61
	1.5	2.51	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.48	Watch
	1.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.73)	2.48 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jay Clarke
62.3%

Jelle Sels
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jay Clarke's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jay Clarke that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jay Clarke - Jelle Sels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Clarke is ranked ATP: 233. Sels is ranked ATP: 329.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sels may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Clarke could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Clarke won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jay Clarke
ITF Tournaments
17.05.25	Jay Clarke - Clement Tabur	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Jay Clarke - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Jay Clarke - Nick Hardt	2:1 ✺
13.05.25	Jay Clarke - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Norbert Gombos - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	Daniel Siniakov - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Raul Brancaccio - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.04.25	Facundo Juarez - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Jelle Sels	Sakellaridis S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.05.24	Jay Clarke - Jelle Sels	0:2

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