Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 4, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday


	Stefanos Sakellaridis		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.89	1.84
	2.05	1.72	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.96	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.5)	1.79 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis
48.1%

Jelle Sels
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Sakellaridis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefanos Sakellaridis's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefanos Sakellaridis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Jelle Sels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 393. Sels is ranked ATP: 284.

Sakellaridis is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sels is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sels could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sels will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Jelle Sels - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.34%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ITF Tournaments
06.04.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Stuart Parker	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Dominik Kellovsky	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Johan Nikles	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Dinko Dinev	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Stuart Parker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWL
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
13.04.25	Max Houkes - Jelle Sels	Sels J. retired ✺
06.04.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Daniel Evans - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Jelle Sels - Milos Karol	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Jelle Sels - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?LLWW

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