Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ostrava - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Raul Brancaccio		Jelle Sels

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.6
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.54	2.39	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.85)	2.53 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raul Brancaccio
63.1%

Jelle Sels
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raul Brancaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raul Brancaccio's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raul Brancaccio than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raul Brancaccio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Raul Brancaccio - Jelle Sels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Brancaccio is ranked ATP: 394. Sels is ranked ATP: 316.

Recent matches Brancaccio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sels has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sels could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Brancaccio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brancaccio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Jelle Sels - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raul Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
20.04.25	Raul Brancaccio - Jiri Vesely	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.04.25	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Raul Brancaccio - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Raul Brancaccio - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Raul Brancaccio - Alex Martinez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWW
- Jelle Sels
ITF Tournaments
24.04.25	Facundo Juarez - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Jelle Sels	Sakellaridis S. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
13.04.25	Max Houkes - Jelle Sels	Sels J. retired ✺
06.04.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Daniel Evans - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 L??LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.11.22	Raul Brancaccio - Jelle Sels	1:2

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