Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 TSUKUBA (JAPAN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 March 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: TSUKUBA (JAPAN) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jea Moon Lee		Keisuke Saitoh

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.5	2.42
	1.52	2.42
	1.53	2.42
	1.5	2.5
	1.53	2.39	Watch
	1.47	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.83)	2.43 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jea Moon Lee
61.7%

Keisuke Saitoh
38.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jea Moon Lee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jea Moon Lee's performance.

Keisuke Saitoh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keisuke Saitoh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jea Moon Lee than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jea Moon Lee that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keisuke Saitoh than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keisuke Saitoh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Saitoh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lee will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jea Moon Lee
ITF Tournaments
20.03.24	Ryotaro Taguchi - Jea Moon Lee	2:1 ✺
19.03.24	Tianhui Zhang - Jea Moon Lee	0:2 ✺
13.03.24	Jea Moon Lee - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
12.03.24	Jea Moon Lee - Daiki Yoshimura	2:0 ✺
27.02.24	Jea Moon Lee - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLWL
- Keisuke Saitoh
ITF Tournaments
13.03.24	Linang Xiao - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Keisuke Saitoh - Sora Fukuda	2:1 ✺
22.02.24	Adrien Gobat - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
20.02.24	Keisuke Saitoh - Louis Tessa	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Luca Castagnola - Keisuke Saitoh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWL

Jea Moon Lee - Keisuke Saitoh

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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