Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	Jeffrey John Wolf		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.45	1.55	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.5	1.59
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	4.2	1.23	Watch
	3.8	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.58)	1.45 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeffrey John Wolf
33.4%

Cameron Norrie
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeffrey John Wolf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeffrey John Wolf than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Jeffrey John Wolf - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Wolf will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Norrie will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolf: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Wolf is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Norrie is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Norrie could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Norrie will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeffrey John Wolf
ATP Shanghai
05.10.23	Jeffrey John Wolf - Pedro Cachin	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:0 ✺
26.09.23	Max Purcell - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
26.09.23	Yan Bai - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Jeffrey John Wolf - Zhizhen Zhang	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Beijing
29.09.23	Andrey Rublev - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
24.09.23	Aslan Karatsev - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Marc Polmans - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
17.09.23	Cameron Norrie - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
15.09.23	Cameron Norrie - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

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