Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BEIJING (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 29 September 2023, Friday


	Andrey Rublev		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.52	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.54	2.63
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.65	Watch
	1.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)	2.58 ↓ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
63.1%

Cameron Norrie
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Andrey Rublev - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Rublev is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Norrie is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rublev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rublev will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rublev won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Laver Cup
24.09.23	Andrey Rublev - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
23.09.23	Andrey Rublev - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
06.09.23	Daniil Medvedev - Andrey Rublev	3:0 ✺
04.09.23	Jack Draper - Andrey Rublev	1:3 ✺
02.09.23	Arthur Rinderknech - Andrey Rublev	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?LLWW
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Zhuhai
24.09.23	Aslan Karatsev - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Marc Polmans - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
17.09.23	Cameron Norrie - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
15.09.23	Cameron Norrie - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Cameron Norrie	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
14.03.23	Andrey Rublev - Cameron Norrie	0:2
ATP US Open
05.09.22	Cameron Norrie - Andrey Rublev	0:3
ATP San Diego
02.10.21	Andrey Rublev - Cameron Norrie	1:2
ATP St Petersburg
16.10.20	Cameron Norrie - Andrey Rublev	0:2

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