Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 9 October 2023, Monday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Jeffrey John Wolf

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.78	2.05	Watch
	1.71	2.08
	1.81	2.12
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.68	2.19	Watch
	1.71	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.91)	2.1 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
54.6%

Jeffrey John Wolf
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Arnaldi's performance.

Jeffrey John Wolf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jeffrey John Wolf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeffrey John Wolf than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Matteo Arnaldi - Jeffrey John Wolf Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Arnaldi will win (44 of 48 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 99.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Wolf could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Shanghai
07.10.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
30.09.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
28.09.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:0 ✺
26.09.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWW
- Jeffrey John Wolf
ATP Shanghai
08.10.23	Jeffrey John Wolf - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
05.10.23	Jeffrey John Wolf - Pedro Cachin	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:0 ✺
26.09.23	Max Purcell - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
26.09.23	Yan Bai - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Beijing
28.09.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:0

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