Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Jelena Ostapenko		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.43	3.04
	1.45	2.97
	1.36	3.1
	1.43	2.86	Watch
	1.39	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.38)	3 ↓ (3.16)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jelena Ostapenko
68%

Maria Lourdes Carle
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.5%	0%	64.5%

Jelena Ostapenko - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 11 - 35.5%). Carle will win (votes: 20 - 64.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carle: 47.7% – 81.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Ostapenko is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carle in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ostapenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ostapenko is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Madrid
25.04.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.24	Linda Noskova - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
10.04.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Zeynep Sonmez	2:1 ✺
09.04.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Suzan Lamens	0:2 ✺
08.04.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Francisca Jorge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLW
- Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Madrid
25.04.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Veronika Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Emma Raducanu - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Astra Sharma	2:0 ✺
22.04.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Taylah Preston	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
12.04.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Daniela Seguel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches