Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 April 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid (Spain) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	19:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	11:00	SportKlub
Brazil	06:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	11:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	11:00	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	11:00	TV2 Sport X
France	11:00	beIN Sports
Germany	11:00	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	12:00	Nova Sports
Poland	11:00	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	12:00	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	11:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	11:00	SportKlub
Ukraine	12:00	Setanta Sports


	Jelena Ostapenko		Ons Jabeur

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.82	1.98
	1.88	2.02
	1.88	2.03
	1.8	2
	1.82	2.02	Watch
	1.8	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.9)	2.01 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelena Ostapenko
52.3%

Ons Jabeur
47.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Ons Jabeur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ons Jabeur than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.3%	0%	31.7%

Jelena Ostapenko - Ons Jabeur Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 25 - 65.8%). Jabeur will win (votes: 13 - 34.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 50.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Ostapenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ostapenko won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Madrid
27.04.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.24	Linda Noskova - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
10.04.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Zeynep Sonmez	2:1 ✺
09.04.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Suzan Lamens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL
- Ons Jabeur
WTA Madrid
27.04.24	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Ons Jabeur	1:2 ✺
25.04.24	Anna Karolina Schmiedlova - Ons Jabeur	1:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
18.04.24	Jasmine Paolini - Ons Jabeur	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ons Jabeur	1:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
04.04.24	Danielle Collins - Ons Jabeur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Stuttgart
19.04.23	Ons Jabeur - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1
WTA Eastbourne
23.06.21	Jelena Ostapenko - Ons Jabeur	2:1
WTA Ostrava
22.10.20	Ons Jabeur - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0
ITF Tournaments
31.07.15	Ons Jabeur - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2

Jelena Ostapenko - Ons Jabeur