Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BERGAMO (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Jelle Sels		Ergi Kirkin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.45	2.5
	1.48	2.53
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.46	Watch
	1.5	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.64)	2.45 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
62.2%

Ergi Kirkin
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jelle Sels's performance.

Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ergi Kirkin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kirkin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sels will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sels won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
22.10.23	Gijs Brouwer - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Jelle Sels - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
16.10.23	Kalin Ivanovski - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Jelle Sels - Maks Kasnikowski	Sels J. retired ✺
04.09.23	Flavio Cobolli - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLW?L
- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
16.10.23	Ergi Kirkin - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Ergi Kirkin - Ugo Blanchet	Kirkin E. retired ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.23	Seong Chan Hong - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.09.23	Jozef Kovalik - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	Ergi Kirkin - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 L?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.09.22	Jelle Sels - Ergi Kirkin	2:1

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